Experian’s 2024 Future of Fraud Forecast
The industry’s fight against fraud doesn’t appear to be getting any easier.
Experian recently released its 2024 Future of Fraud Forecast, which identified five fraud threats consumers and businesses should be cautious of this year.
Experts said today’s fraudsters are sophisticated and deploy the latest technology, such as generative artificial intelligence, to dupe consumers and businesses.
According to an Experian report, nearly 70% of businesses report that fraud losses have increased in recent years and over half of consumers feel they’re more of a fraud target than a year ago.
To thwart fraudulent activity in 2024, Experian recommended that businesses deploy more sophisticated fraud protection solutions that harness the power of data and technology to mitigate risk and protect consumers.
Experian suggests consumers and businesses watch out for these five fraud threats in 2024:
Generative AI accelerates DIY fraud
Experian acknowledged the explosive popularity of generative AI has brought many benefits, but it’s also made fraud more accessible.
Experian predicted fraudsters will use generative AI to accelerate “do-it-yourself” fraud with a wide range of deepfake content, such as emails, voice and video as well as code creation to set up scam websites and perpetuate online attacks.
Experts added fraudsters may also use generative AI to socially engineer “proof of life” schemes.
“Using stolen identities, fraudsters will leverage generative AI to create fake identities on social media,” Experian said. “They can then interact online with these new profiles that look like a real consumer. This could dramatically increase the number of fraud attacks.
“To safeguard customers, companies will likely have to utilize multilayered fraud prevention solutions that ‘fight AI with AI,’’ experts added.
Branches are cool again
Although there’s been a substantial migration to digital lending experiences, Experian pointed out many consumers are heading in-person to bank branches to open new accounts or get financial advice.
“Consumers are doing this as they want to feel safer and think they’re avoiding online security risks by being in-person,” Experian said. “When it comes to verifying identities at the branch, there can be human error or oversight that can happen in-person.”
According to an Experian report, 85% of consumers report physical biometrics as the most trusted and secure authentication method they’ve recently encountered, but the measure is only currently used by 32% of businesses to detect and protect against fraud.
Experian forecasted that finance companies and other lenders will introduce more digital identity verification steps, such as physical biometrics, at branches for in-person account openings to protect legitimate customers and mitigate losses.
Retailers hit with empty returns
With a rise in online shopping, Experian noted that fraudsters have found creative ways to scam some retailers and small businesses.
“The customer says they’re returning their purchased item but when the business receives the box, it’s empty,” experts said. “The customer then says they returned the product and it must have gotten lost in the mail.”
Experian predicted that more criminals will use this method to keep merchandise in 2024, leaving businesses with lost goods and revenue.
Synthetic identity fraud will surge
During the pandemic, Experian said many fraudsters created synthetic identities but then quickly found easier methods to steal funds through various aid programs.
“Though they may have been dormant, these synthetic identities now have a few years of history,” experts said.
Experian predicted this will make it easier to elude detection — leading to fraudsters using those dormant accounts to “bust out” and steal funds over the next year.
“Businesses will need to collaborate more closely than ever with their fraud-prevention partners to review their current portfolios for synthetic identity accounts,” experts said.
Fraudsters expand into cause-related and investment deception
From fake GoFundMe campaigns, social media giveaways, investment opportunities and text fraud, Experian pointed out fraudsters are employing new methods that strike an emotional response from consumers with cause-related asks or too-good-to-be-real offers to gain access to consumers’ vital, personal information.
Experian predicted that these deceptive cause-related methods will surge in 2024 and beyond.
“To avoid becoming victims, consumers will have to be extremely cautious and confirm these opportunities, charities or texts are from the intended party before interacting with them,” experts said.
Last year, Experian estimated that its fraud prevention solutions helped clients save more than $12 billion in fraud losses globally.
“The speed and complexity of fraud attacks due to new technology and sophisticated fraudsters is leaving both businesses and consumers at risk in 2024,” said Kathleen Peters, chief innovation officer at Experian Decision Analytics in North America. “At Experian, we’re constantly innovating to deliver data-driven solutions to help our customers fight fraud and to protect the consumers they serve.
“Now more than ever, businesses need to implement a multilayered approach to their identity verification and fraud prevention strategies that leverages the latest technology available,” Peters continued.
Experian’s CrossCore can help clients verify identities, detect and prevent fraud, and meet regulatory requirements using real-time risk analytics and decision-making strategies.
Precise ID can provides real-time identity verification and the ability to identify and treat specific fraud risks, including identity theft, synthetic identity and first-party fraud.
Most Precise ID clients see a substantial lift in fraud detection performance compared to their legacy systems, according to Experian.
To learn more about Experian’s fraud prevention solutions, visit https://www.experian.com/business/solutions/fraud-management.