CARY, N.C. -

Industry experts like Swapalease.com executive vice president Scot Hall are trying to get a handle on the used-vehicle market — a segment that will be influenced by interest rates expected to continually increase in 2018, despite the recent stock market sell-off, and wholesale prices continuing to fall this year, mostly due to rising supply.

Sharing additional insights with Nick for the Auto Remarketing Podcast about a recent project Swapalease.com orchestrated, Hall dissected how rising interest rates and falling residuals may impact payments of potential vehicle-lease customers arriving at your dealership or applying for financing through your institution.

Swapalease conducted an analysis taking into account a typical vehicle with an MSRP of $35,000.

Here are the assumptions:

— Term: 36-month lease
— Residual: 49 percent
— Interest rate: 4.00 percent
— Monthly payment: $604.83

Here are the breakdowns at varying interest rate levels, as well as a residual rate of 49 percent and 50 percent:

Residual Money
Factor
Monthly
Payment
 50%   3.00%  $573.51
 50%  3.25%  $579.05
 50%  3.50%  $584.60
 50%  3.75%  $590.15
 50%  4.00%  $595.69
     
 49%  3.00%  $582.79
 49%  3.25%  $588.30
 49%  3.50%  $593.81
 49%  3.75%  $599.32
 49%  4.00%  $604.83

 

Hall described these figures in more detail in the conversation available below.

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